89 Wins

Projected NL Central standings over at Redleg Nation:

Finally, I used Bill James Pythagorean expectation formula, plugging in the RC and RA numbers to compute the expected number of wins for each team. Here are the results:

Team        Pyth. WP   W   L   RC   RA    OPS   ERA
St. Louis       59%   95  67  800  667   .767  3.79
Milwaukee       56%   91  71  774  681   .758  3.88
Cincinnati      55%   89  73  772  697   .756  3.96
Chicago         53%   86  76  765  721   .753  4.09
Pittsburgh      49%   80  82  773  784   .756  4.83
Houston         45%   72  90  680  756   .709  4.30

So maybe the 89 over-under was good.  We'll see what shakes out.  I've only got to buy a meal if I lose, but the other guy is a fatass.  Al's Pizza "all-you-can-eat" it will be.

Update:  The prediction shows the Pirates with their best record since 1992, but still has them posting their 19th straight losing season.  I'll take the under on 80, if anybody is willing to wager.

Update #2:  The Reds are 85 wins away from their 10,000th win, joining the Cardinals, Giants, Cubs, Dodgers and likely Braves (they need 55).  Actually, if you add in the 125 wins the Reds had between 1876 and 1880, prior to being kicked out of the National League for selling beer and playing on Sunday, they already have 10,040 wins.