Saturday, July 14, 2012

The Comeback Economy

The Economist makes the case that the U.S. economy is sitting better than Europe or China (h/t Ritholtz).  I found their prescription for whoever wins the Presidential election interesting:
What should the next president do to generate muscle in this new economy? First, do no harm. Not driving the economy over the fiscal cliff would be a start: instead, settle on a credible long-term deficit plan that includes both tax rises and cuts to entitlement programmes. There are other madnesses brewing. Some Democrats want to restrict exports of natural gas to hold down the price for domestic consumers—a brilliant strategy to discourage domestic investment and production. A braver Mr Obama would expedite approval of gas exports. For his part, Mr Romney should back off his promise to brand China a currency manipulator, an invitation to a trade war.
Second, the next president should fix America’s ramshackle public services. Even the most productive start-ups cannot help an economy held back by dilapidated roads, the world’s most expensive health system, underachieving union-dominated schools and a Byzantine immigration system that deprives companies of the world’s best talent. Focus on those things, Mr Obama and Mr Romney, and you will be surprised what America’s private sector can do for itself.
Raise taxes?  Fat chance a President Romney will do that.  Hell, it's unlikely Obama would do that.  He'll end up folding up on letting the high-end Bush tax cuts expire.  I'm surprised The Economist can take seriously the idea that Republicans might end up in charge and not totally fuck things up.  I wish I could be that optimistic. And where would the private sector be today without the government bailouts?  But, anyway, at least somebody thinks things aren't as bad as our politicians tell us they are.

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