Thursday, August 15, 2013

Crude Oil - A Breakdown

Via Ritholtz, here's a graphic from Mother Jones:


There's more in the article, like this:
Energy researcher Vaclav Smil suggests in The American that these developments should mean the end of "peak oil" anxieties:
Obviously, there will come a time when global oil extraction will reach its peak, but even that point may be of little practical interest as it could be followed by a prolonged, gentle decline or by an extended output plateau at a somewhat lower level than peak production.
But others like journalist Chris Nelder argue that we've increased spending on oil production by tremendous amounts only to see global oil production edge up a bit. Older, cheaper oil fields are declining, and their oil is being replaced by crude from far more expensive sources. Nelder made his numerical case to the Washington Post like this:
In 2005, we reached 73 million barrels per day. Then, to increase production beyond that, the world had to double spending on oil production. In 2012, we're now spending $600 billion. The price of oil has tripled. And yet, for all that additional expenditure, we've only raised production 3 percent to 75 million barrels per day [since 2005].
I'm much more in the corner of Nelder than Smil.  Peak oil ain't dead.

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