Sunday, April 1, 2012

MLB Individual Prop Bets

Jonah Keri discusses a number of available bets on individual player performance.  My favorite:
Baltimore Orioles
Mark Reynolds: Total Strikeouts in the 2012 Regular Season
Over/Under: 200½

Did you know that of the 11 highest single-season strikeout totals in the long history of Major League Baseball, all 11 have happened in the past eight years? Did you know that Reynolds doesn't merely hold the all-time record for strikeouts in a season (223), he's also number-two (211)? It's an interesting cause-and-effect question: Did the huge spike in home runs that started in the early 90s and persisted into the mid-aughts happen in part because the old stigma against hitters striking out disappeared? Or did that stigma vanish because working deep counts and taking big swings helped lead to an explosion in home runs? Let's say a little of both. Then let's honor Reynolds, who might be the most anonymous record-holder since Earl Webb.
More on Earl Webb here.  This is also a good place to note that Jim Thome is now only 111 strikeouts away from breaking Reggie Jackson's career record of 2597.  Adam Dunn has the potential to move into the top 5 for career strikeouts, but Reynolds is setting a blistering pace, with 963 strikeouts in 2905 at-bats.

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