Conservatives are predicted to win, but with less than 40% of the vote (via Yglesias):
Why the U.S. ended up with red meaning conservative and blue meaning liberal, I don't understand. Anyway, here is the projected seat breakdown by province:
I think it is interesting how the Western provinces are almost entirely Conservative, the Maritime provinces are slightly leaning Labor, and then there's Quebec. I would think that minority government in parliament would be tremendously difficult and frustrating.
An election that changes 4 seats seems like a waste, too.
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