Tuesday, May 15, 2012

Preakness Preview

ESPN:
But here's a step onto another limb: I'll Have Another won't win the Preakness or the Belmont, and three horses will share the jewels of this Triple Crown. The main reason for such an argument, aside from the sheer improbability of winning any Triple Crown race, is that this group of 3-year-olds has more talent than any one horse can dominate.
And some good ones will take on I'll Have Another in Baltimore. Bob Baffert was undecided Sunday morning about Bodemeister. The colt's trainer said he wanted to wait a week and see how the Derby runner-up trains before making a decision. But he's a Preakness possibility, and if Bodemeister runs, he'll probably be the favorite, based on his Derby effort. Although beaten Saturday, he gave a superlative performance, leading through three-quarters of a mile in 1:09.80 and a mile in 1:35.19. Bodemeister became only the sixth horse in Derby history to run the opening six furlongs under 1:10, and of those only the second to "hit the board," or finish in the top three. (Spend a Buck won the 1985 Derby after opening up a six-length advantage in 1:09.60.) The imagination almost has to wonder and speculate about what might have happened if only the sprinter Trinniberg, a 44-1 long shot who never had raced beyond seven furlongs, had not been entered in the Derby. Trinniberg pressed the pace before fading to 17th.
Since Bodemeister is going to be in the race, I would think he'll be the favorite based on his powerful 10 furlong run in the Derby.  If that race was a mile and 3/16, he would have won. However, no matter how unlikely it might be, I'd love to see I'll Have Another capture the Triple Crown.

No comments:

Post a Comment