Brad Plumer:
So how much land and water is actually being grabbed? Quite a lot, according to a big new study
published in the “Proceedings of the National Academies of Sciences”
this week. The authors find that somewhere between 0.7 percent and 1.75
percent of the world’s agricultural land is being transferred to foreign
investors from local landholders. That’s an area bigger than France and
Germany combined.
Big purchasers of foreign farmland include Britain, the United
States, China, the United Arab Emirates, South Korea, South Africa,
Israel, India and Egypt. They’re mostly seeking out land in Africa and
Asia, particularly in countries such as Congo, Sudan, Indonesia,
Tanzania, Mozambique, Ethiopia and even Australia.
Here’s a map from the PNAS study showing who’s grabbing what from
where. Red triangles indicate investors, green dots indicate land that’s
being snatched up. Note that some countries, like Russia and Brazil,
are on both ends of the farmland trade:
The study found that foreign investors frequently buy tracts of land
that have plenty of freshwater, either from local rainfall or
underground aquifers. That’s the key commodity here. “This is often good
agricultural land that isn’t yet fully utilized,” says Paolo D’Odorico,
one of the study’s co-authors. “It was being used by local farmers
without modern technology, without irrigation, without fertilizer.”After the land is bought up, large commercial farms will move in and boost production to grow their own crops. One 2010 study
from the World Bank found that about 37 percent of this “grabbed” land
is used to grow food crops, 21 percent to grow cash crops and 21 percent
to grow biofuels. (For instance, some 27,400 square miles of land land
have been snatched up in Indonesia, largely to grow palm oil, which can
be turned into biodiesel.)
Speculation in food production may make sociopaths rich, but it is a terrible idea. However, if the investment in technology actually went to benefit the locals, that would be a net positive. For some reason, I don't trust Goldman, Chinese companies and emirs to do the right thing.
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